Holy crap, is it already over?

MSNBC just had the gov­er­nor of Penn­syl­va­nia on and he said that because the state Repub­li­can party chose to run some inflam­ma­tory com­mer­cials in the final days about Jere­miah Wright, African Amer­i­can turnout has been off the charts today across the state, east and west. Obama is already look­ing to win the Key­stone State, turn­ing out to be this year’s Ohio ’04 and Florida ’00, by dou­ble digits.

If you’ve been fol­low­ing Nate Silver’s analy­sis on fivethirtyeight.com, you know that McCain’s chances of get­ting to 270 elec­toral votes drops dra­mat­i­cally if he loses Penn­syl­va­nia. He’d essen­tially have to win every state Bush took ver­sus Kerry and Gore, includ­ing Col­orado. And as a Col­oradan, I can pretty much guar­an­tee he’s not get­ting Col­orado. So if McCain loses Penn­syl­va­nia, he’s as good as sunk before the bal­lots west of the Mis­sis­sippi are even counted.